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Posts Tagged ‘Uncertainty’

Inspect every piece of pseudoscience and you will find a security blanket, a thumb to suck, a skirt to hold.  What have we to offer in exchange?  Uncertainty!  Insecurity!
    ––     Isaac Asimov
Quoted by:   John Allen Paulos
From his book:  “Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences
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On This Day In:
2021 What You’ll Find
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2020 Voting Has Consequences
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2019 Mutually Exclusive
2018 Basic Rights
2017 Thoughtful Attitudes
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2016 The Bell Tolls
2015 It Is What It Is
2014 What Have You Learned (Gently) Lately?
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2013 Ignore The Man Behind The Curtain
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2012 What Are Your True Measurements
2011 What It Is All About
2010 The Magnificent Seven
Giants Fever!!

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But we don’t yet know whether the Universe is open or closed.  More than that, there are a few astronomers who doubt that the redshift of distant galaxies is due to the doppler effect, who are skeptical of the expanding Universe and the Big Bang.  Perhaps our descendants will regard our present ignorance with as much sympathy as we feel to the ancients for not knowing the Earth went around the Sun.  If the general picture, however, of a Big Bang followed by an expanding Universe is correct, what happened before that?  Was the Universe devoid of all matter and then the matter suddenly somehow created, how did that happen?  In many cultures, the customary answer is that a God or Gods created the Universe out of nothing.  But if we wish to pursue this question courageously, we must of course ask the next question:  where did God come from?  If we decide that this is an unanswerable question, why not save a step and conclude that the origin of the Universe is an unanswerable question?  Or, if we say that God always existed, why not save a step, and conclude that the Universe always existed?  That there’s no need for a creation, it was always here.  These are not easy questions.  Cosmology brings us face to face with the deepest mysteries, questions that were once treated only in religion and myth.
    —    Carl Sagan
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On This Day In:
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2021 I Welcome The Questions
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2020 Increasing Importance
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2019 But Yours
2018 And Smile More Often
2017 He’s Keeping The Light On For Us
2016 The Results Of Trying Too Hard
2015 Make Me Look
2014 Fresh Drink
2013 Good Business
2012 Unsure Spirit
2011 A Lost Valuable

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Uncertainty is the only certainty there is, and knowing how to live with insecurity is the only security.
     ―    John Allen Paulos
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On This Day In:
2021 Losing One’s Edge
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2020 Are You Sure?
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2019 Living Art
Day 7: Week 1 – Mathematics
2018 Hey, #45: Are We Sick Of Winning, Yet?
Day 40: Wrists
2017 Heart Vision
2016 A Labor Day / Pre-Election Hope
Trust Me, Too
2015 Without Hope
Things Known And Unknown
2014 A Wall Too High, A Bridge Too Far
2013 Glory = Danger
Chicago Magic
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2012 How Did We Get Here?
2011 Labor Day Weekend Mishmash
More, More, More

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We always live in an uncertain world.  What is certain is that the United States will go forward over time.
    —    Warren Buffett
[And the whole world will get through this, too…    —    kmab]
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On This Day In:
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2021 All I See Are Nails
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2020 We Will Get Through This
2019 I Asked My Family Doctor Just What I Had
2018 You Have Just Begun To Climb
2017 Equal Protection Under Law
2016 A Stubbornly Persistent Illusion
2015 Or You Don’t
2014 If You Ever Fall…
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2012 They Follow A Pattern – If You Know What I Mean
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2011 Giving

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The scientist has a lot of experience with ignorance and doubt and uncertainty, and this experience is of very great importance, I think.  When a scientist doesn’t know the answer to a problem, he is ignorant.  When he has a hunch as to what the result is, he is uncertain.  And when he is pretty darn sure of what the result is going to be, he is in some doubt.  We have found it of paramount importance that in order to progress we must recognize the ignorance and leave room for doubt.  Scientific knowledge is a body of statements of varying degrees of certainty – some most unsure, some nearly sure, none absolutely certain.
    —    Dr. Richard P. Feynman
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On This Day In:
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2020 Does Blogging Count?
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2019 None Absolutely Certain
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2017 A True American Hero
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2016 What #AmnestyDon Is Really Afraid Of
2015 What Are You Doing?
2014 The Ideal Man
2013 Daring Ripples
2012 Evermore
2011 Unpredictable Opportunity
2010 Giants Fall In Game 2 (1 to 6) – Leave PA With 1-1 Split !!

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You know, people talk about this being an uncertain time.  You know, all time is uncertain.  I mean, it was uncertain back in – in 2007, we just didn’t know it was uncertain.  It was – uncertain on September 10th, 2001.  It was uncertain on October 18th, 1987, you just didn’t know it.
   —    Warren Buffett
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On This Day In:
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2019 Uncertain Times
And Government Shutdowns, Too
2018 Satisfied
2017 In The Mind
2016 Dreaming
2015 The Best Medicine Is Also Contagious
2014 Eyes Off
2013 The More Things Change…
2012 The Delicate Moment Of Giving
2011 Ready, Shoot, Aim!!

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The certainty of misery is better than the misery of uncertainty.
    —    Pogo (A comic strip and comic strip character)
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On This Day In:
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2014 Economic Engines
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2012 Hangin’ With His P’s
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The future is never clear, you pay a very high price in the stock market for a cheery consensus.  Uncertainty actually is the friend of the buyer of long-term values.
    —  Warren Buffett
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On This Day In:
2022 How About: Just Be Kind…
2021 Try To Choose Wisely
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2020 We Have A Window
2019 No Escape
2018 Except When It Is From The Oval Office
2017 Bad Karma
2016 Poor Management Choices
2015 Is It Still Dark Out?
2014 Rule One
2013 Spelling God’s Name
2012 Love Your Life And Sing
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2011 Cheers, Friend!

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