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Posts Tagged ‘Kevin Kelly’

The emergence of the mirrorworld will affect us all at a deeply personal level.  We know there will be severe physiological and psychological effects of dwelling in dual worlds; we’ve already learned that from our experience living in cyberspace and virtual realities.  But we don’t know what these effects will be, much less how to prepare for them or avoid them.  We don’t even know the exact cognitive mechanism that makes the illusion of AR work in the first place.  [“AR” = Augmented Reality  —  KMAB]
The great paradox is that the only way to understand how AR works is to build AR and test ourselves in it.  It’s weirdly recursive: The technology itself is the microscope needed to inspect the effects of the technology.
Some people get very upset with the idea that new technologies will create new harms and that we willingly surrender ourselves to these risks when we could adopt the precautionary principle: Don’t permit the new unless it is proven safe.  But that principle is unworkable, because the old technologies we are in the process of replacing are even less safe.  More than 1 million humans die on the roads each year, but we clamp down on robot drivers when they kill one person.  We freak out over the unsavory influence of social media on our politics, while TV’s partisan influence on elections is far, far greater than Facebook’s.  The mirrorworld will certainly be subject to this double standard of stricter norms.
I imagine it will take at least a decade for the mirrorworld to develop enough to be used by millions, and several decades to mature.  But we are close enough now to the birth of this great work that we can predict its character in rough detail.
Eventually this melded world will be the size of our planet.  It will be humanity’s greatest achievement, creating new levels of wealth, new social problems, and uncountable opportunities for billions of people.  There are no experts yet to make this world; you are not late.
    —    Kevin Kelly
From his article:  “Welcome To Mirrorworld
Appearing in Wired Magazine; dtd:  March 2019
The article also appears online at:  https://www.wired.com/story/mirrorworld-ar-next-big-tech-platform/
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On This Day In:
2019 Too Difficult To Try
2018 Hold Fast
2017 The Only Real Security
2016 Time Said
2015 If Only Common Sense Were More Common
2014 PTI
2013 What Now, Then?
2012 Big C, Little B
Duty, Honor, Country

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The recurring discovery I made in each virtual world I entered was that although every one of these environments was fake, the experiences I had in them were genuine.  VR does two important things: One, it generates an intense and convincing sense of what is generally called presence.  Virtual landscapes, virtual objects, and virtual characters seem to be there — a perception that is not so much a visual illusion as a gut feeling.  That’s magical.  But the second thing it does is more important.  The technology forces you to be present — in a way flatscreens do not — so that you gain authentic experiences, as authentic as in real life.  People remember VR experiences not as a memory of something they saw but as something that happened to them.
   —    Kevin Kelly
From his article: “Hyper Vision
In the May 2016 issue of Wired Magazine
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On This Day In:
2015 Back On The Bricks
On, Rocinante!!
2014 Changing Frequently
2013 Trifles
2012 Simple, Ordinary And Wonderous
2011 Humane Writers

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You can learn more from failure than success.  In failure you’re forced to find out what part did not work.  But in success you can believe everything you did was great, when in fact some parts may not have worked at all.  Failure forces you to face reality.
    —    Frederick Phillips Brooks, Jr.
Quoted in the article:  “Master Planner: Fred Brooks Shows How to Design Anything
Written by:  Kevin Kelly in Wired Magazine, August 2010
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