Posts Tagged ‘Florida’

2016:  In the 2016 California primary I supported (and voted for) Bernie Sanders over Hillary Clinton.  After almost 30-plus years of poisonous lies, I just didn’t believe Hillary (a conservative and imminently qualified Democrat) could defeat a Republican.  And, in all honesty, I also felt there would be a large anti-“female for President” vote.  I was surprised to see Hilary win the popular vote outright, but I knew she would not be President when she lost Florida (6:00pm PST).  The bottom line was Hillary would simply not have sufficient votes in the Electoral College to win.  This meant the election would go to the House of Representatives, which (at that time) was controlled by the Republicans.  This meant (to me) House Speaker (Paul Ryan) who was the Vice-Presidential Republican candidate in the 2012 election, would be elected president.  As it turned out, the “Rust Belt” Democrat fire-wall collapsed and Trump won the electoral count outright and became President despite losing the popular vote by over 3 million votes.  I thought, and still believe, Hillary was the better candidate, but Bernie had the policies I was more aligned with.  So I bought the t-shirt and voted for him.  When Hillary eventually became the candidate, I bought the t-shirt and supported / voted for her.
April 2019:  I hear Mayor Pete get interviewed.  While I still agree with all of Bernie’s policies, I continue to feel he is not electable and more importantly – he is NOT a Democrat.  The lesson of 2008 to 2010, is if you take the eye off the ball, the party will lose local and state elections and the country’s progress will slow (or stop).  The bottom line is (was) while I agree with almost all of Bernie’s policies, I don’t like him as a “Democrat” candidate.  So, I bought the t-shirt and have supported him with small donations when possible.  I told my daughter who objects I can’t support him because Pete is un-electable.  I asked why and she replied, “because he’s openly gay!”  I had to search my soul, but in the end I decided that didn’t matter to me.
Saturday: 29 February 2020:  former Vice-President Joe Biden rode overwhelming African-American support to a dominant win in South Carolina.
Sunday: 1 March 2020:  I go on the ActBlue website to donate to Senator Warren and Mayor Pete’s campaigns.  Pete because I intend to vote for him in the primary and Warren, because she more closely aligns with my personal policies.  I STILL don’t believe Bernie or Biden can carry the country.  I don’t want to out vote Trump and have him win the Electoral College again.
Monday:  2 March 2020:  My favored candidate (“Mayor Pete”) did badly in South Carolina and then he flies to Texas to throw his support behind Biden.  Amy Klobuchar, who also did badly in South Carolina, drops out of the race and throws her support behind Biden.
Tuesday: 3 March 2020:  I vote for Warren.  Maybe she can slow the Bernie train…  Bernie is NOT a Democrat and South Carolina is a blip – until it isn’t.  And then, it isn’t.  Joe steamrolls Bernie!
Wednesday:  4 March 2020:  I am thrilled Bernie has been stopped, but Warren has policies which are closer to my own, so I go to ActBlue and make another (small) donation to the Warren campaign.
Thursday:  5 March 2020:  Senator Warren throws in the towel.
I know I’m being a bit repetitive:  I am still more closely aligned with Bernie’s policies, but (again) I’m still not supporting Bernie…  I will be supporting Joe AND I will be buying a t-shirt AND voting in November!
The Future:
And now, my hope is that Biden can wrap the nomination process up quickly and we can get on with defeating Trump, holding on to the House and flipping the Senate.  Then, we will finally be able to make some progress in improving the United States for the working class and the middle class  —  and not just for the 1%.
My prediction is that the Democrats will win the Presidency and keep the House.  The Senate is a long shot, but possible.  I also predict which ever candidate we put forward, it will only be a one term Presidency.  This is due to the age of both of the Democratic finalists.  Which in turn means Joe (or Bernie) REALLY needs to select a woman to fill out the ticket.  For my 2 cents:  I would propose either Governor Gretchen Whitmer or Representative Katie Porter.  Of the two, Whitmer is the safest because we desperately need to flip Michigan back to blue in November.  (Remember the Electoral College…)  Porter is less “significant” for political reasons, but my casual observations of her have been her absolute brilliance in her job in the House.  The down side for Porter (of course) is that she would have to give up her position as the incumbent in her district and put her seat at risk.  I do not feel other Democratic Senators should be considered for the same reason as Porter – we can’t afford to lose them from their current positions (or they are too old to head the ticket in 2024).  Frankly, I am not impressed by either of the two most likely candidates:  Klobuchar or Harris.  I’m just not a fan of Klobuchar and I don’t think four years as VP will make Harris ready for the big chair – and, yes, I did vote for Harris for the Senate.
So, that’s where I stand for now…  Go Joe!!!
On This Day In:
2019 But Yours
2018 And Smile More Often
2017 He’s Keeping The Light On For Us
2016 The Results Of Trying Too Hard
2015 Make Me Look
2014 Fresh Drink
2013 Good Business
2012 Unsure Spirit
2011 A Lost Valuable

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Any excuse will serve a tyrant.
   —    Aesop
In war, truth is the first casualty.
   —    Aeschylus
[President Trump is at war with “the truth”, “the Press”, and with every decent “value” America has tried to “stand for” for almost 250 years.  He will do anything (legal or not) and say anything (lying or even a rare truth) to get re-elected.  Senator Mark Rubio (Florida) and Representative Jim Jordan (Ohio) are “defending” President Trump’s publicly asking China to “investigate” the Biden family as a “joke” and an attempt to “chide” and “outrage” the press and liberals.  Let’s make NO mistake about this…   #TrumpIsACriminal was not “just kidding” when he was dangling a favorable trade negotiation / tariff deal with China in exchange for an “investigation”.  The President was OPENLY soliciting aid for his own re-election from a foreign power —  which is against the law   —  because he did NOT want his offer to be misunderstood (by ANY foreign power)…  We have absolutely no reason to believe the President is lying when he says he is willing to commit a Federal crime – when it is in his personal interest to do so – and EVERY reason to believe he is being honest in his criminal offer.  ANY Republican who purports to be supporting / defending the President with this blatantly specious excuse (“he’s kidding”) is being equally treasonous in condoning this Federal crime.  I won’t say they are “accessories” to the crime, but they are getting very close to it (being an accessory).  Senator Rubio should be ashamed of himself for initiating this “defense” because he knows first-hand how unfit for office this President is.    —    KMAB]
On This Day In:
2018 Thinking About My Hil
Remember Your Duty In November
2017 Play Well With Others
2016 Surviving And Challenging
2015 On Destroying Historic / Archaeological Sites
2014 Magical Power
2013 How Awesome Would That Be
2012 Two Views
2011 Still Looking For Examples
2010 Giants Win Away 3 – 2!!

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So, was there a “BLUE” wave?  You decide…
Image of chart showing elections where Democrats made gains in the House of Representatives

Elections since 1976 where Democrats have gained seats in the House of Representatives

Of course, the image (above) ONLY shows the years with “net” gains – and this year is the largest numeric increase for the Democrats since 1976.  The chart does not show the years 1980, 1984, 1992, 2002, 2004, 2010, 2014, and 2016 where the Democrats had net losses nor the magnitude of those losses.  (Pretty significant losses in 1994 and 2010.)
Image of Popular Vote Last 6 of 7 Presidential Elections

Trends for Republicans to worry about…

What should be more troubling to the Republicans is that the second image (just above) shows in Presidential elections, the Democratic candidate received the majority of the “popular” vote in six of the last seven elections.  In 2000, George W. Bush became president (like Trump in 2016) because of the Electoral College, NOT because he received the majority of the individual votes by Americans.  And, in “W’s” case, Republicans won only because the Supreme Court stopped the recount in Florida while “W” had the lead.
It is (IMHO) extremely unlikely there will be any Constitutional change to the Electoral College system and the House (i.e. the States) is sooooo gerrymandered it is unlikely the moneyed party (the Republicans) will lose many of the plains and mid-west States without another major financial / economic collapse (like at the end of Bush’s term: 2008).  The “hope” of a demographics shift is “always” there as a forecast on the horizon, but it never seems to be the super-storm which reaches shore.  Finally, I have read projections of upwards of ten House seats being “flipped” due to the 2020 census.  So having (and holding) governorships and state houses coming out of 2020 will be critical for the next decade’s elections, too.
The work is just beginning folks…  Take a deep breath and then get ready to get back to the grindstone.  Democracy still has some catching up to do in this Republic.
On This Day In:
2017 The Promise At Risk
2016 Or As Will Come In Time
2015 It Is Another Beautiful Day At The Red Pony Bar And Continual Soiree…
2014 Days And Years
2013 Currency And Transport
2012 Something Which Did Not Exist Before
2011 True Magic

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