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Posts Tagged ‘Doug Jones’

Today the State of Alabama voted to put a Democrat in the Senate.  Doug Jones defeated Roy Moore in the State’s special election.  The last time a Democrat won a Senate seat for Alabama was 1992, and he was so conservative, he switched parties mid-term and joined the Republicans.
As per my initial comment (and my earlier post), my prediction was COMPLETELY wrong.   It turns out the voters of Alabama would rather “allow” the election of a Democrat than vote for an “alleged” pedophile Republican.  And, I for one am stunned.  I honestly did not believe it was possible…  It just shows how much I know.
For the last few weeks, I’ve been predicting a “going-away” victory for Roy Moore over the Democratic candidate Doug Jones of 6 to 8 points based on moderate to normal turnout.  Today, I changed my “prediction” to “landslide” (10-15 points) for Moore.
It is unclear why the vote happened the way it did, but basically the Democratic side turned out 92% of the presidential level while the Republican turnout was only 49% of presidential level.
To quote my earlier post:  “The only way Jones wins is if there is a massive (presidential level) turnout by Democrats AND a significant no-show by Republican voters.  In my humble opinion, this would be the equivalent of an act of God.
Not only was there a significant “no-show”, there was also a significant write-in vote, which, had they gone for the Republican side, would have flipped the result.
So, not only does the result show how little I know about Alabama politics, it also demonstrates the simple truth behind the adage: “That’s why they hold the election…
I guess there’s nothing else to say but quote the poem by William Cowper
God moves in a mysterious way
His wonders to perform;
He plants his footsteps in the sea,
And rides upon the storm.
Deep in unfathomable mines
Of never-failing skill,
He treasures up his bright designs,
And works his sovereign will.
Ye fearful saints, fresh courage take,
The clouds ye so much dread
Are big with mercy, and shall break
In blessings on your head.
Judge not the Lord by feeble sense,
But trust him for his grace;
Behind a frowning providence
He hides a smiling face.
His purposes will ripen fast,
Unfolding every hour;
The bud may have a bitter taste,
But sweet will be the flower.
Blind unbelief is sure to err,
And scan his work in vain;
God is his own interpreter,
And he will make it plain.
God bless the State of Alabama and God bless America!
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On This Day In:
2016 As Far From
2015 Rocky 7
Just Like Politics
2014 Game And Legend
“Scientific” Pride In Humanity
2013 Real Honor
Catching Up
2012 Thoughts And Communications
2011 But How Does Peter Feel?
2010 Name That Regret

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Today is the voting for the vacated Senate seat in Alabama.  The seat is empty because the previous holder (Jeff Sessions) has become the Attorney General in the Trump administration.
Alabama is a very conservative “Christian” state and is heavily Republican.  Some folks have asked me what I thought was going to happen.  Generally, my honest opinions have been wrong (in sports and politics), but I’ll offer it up anyway…
So far, for the last few weeks, I’ve been predicting a “going-away” victory for Roy Moore over the Democratic candidate Doug Jones of 6 to 8 points based on moderate to normal turnout.  The most recent polls have been all over the place, with a few even showing Jones by 10 points.
I hate to say it, but I honestly believe the voters of Alabama would rather vote for an “alleged” pedophile than a Democrat.  They don’t want to believe the “Fake News” and they want to believe the allegations are just politically motivated lies.  Unfortunately, the American voting public has a long history of disregarding reality and voting based on emotional beliefs.
The only way Jones wins is if there is a massive (presidential level) turnout by Democrats AND a significant no-show by Republican voters.  In my humble opinion, this would be the equivalent of an act of God.  The news is currently reporting that the turnout is over presidential levels…  My current opinion is that Moore wins by a “landslide” of 10-15 points.  I pray I’m wrong, but as a Democrat, I would, wouldn’t I?
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On This Day In:
2016 As Far From
2015 Rocky 7
Just Like Politics
2014 Game And Legend
“Scientific” Pride In Humanity
2013 Real Honor
Catching Up
2012 Thoughts And Communications
2011 But How Does Peter Feel?
2010 Name That Regret

Read Full Post »

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