Feeds:
Posts
Comments

Archive for October, 2012

What in me is dark,
Illumine; what is low, raise and support,
That to the height of this great argument
I may assert eternal Providence,
And justify the ways of God to men.
   —  John Milton
From: “Paradise Lost
[The first two lines are the cover page to volume II of my journal…  —  KMAB]
.

Read Full Post »

Blessed are the poor in spirit: for theirs is the kingdom of heaven.
Blessed are they that mourn: for they shall be comforted.
Blessed are the meek: for they shall inherit the earth.
Blessed are they who do hunger and thirst after righteousness: for they shall be filled.
Blessed are the merciful: for they shall obtain mercy.
Blessed are the pure in heart: for they shall see God.
Blessed are the peacemakers: for they shall be called the children of God.
Blessed are they who are persecuted for righteousness’ sake: for theirs is the kingdom of heaven.
Blessed are you, when men shall revile you, and persecute you, and shall say all manner of evil against you falsely, for my sake.
Rejoice, and be exceedingly glad: for great is your reward in heaven: for so persecuted they the prophets who were before you.
  —  Matthew 5:3-12
[Next to the “Our Father“, the Beatitudes are (to me) the most beautiful words spoken by Jesus Christ.  Just sayin’…  —  KMAB]
.

Read Full Post »

the great advantage of being alive
(instead of undying) is not so much
that mind no more can disprove than prove
what heart may feel and soul may touch
–the great(my darling)happens to be
that love are in we,that love are in we
and here is a secret they never will share
for whom create is less than have
or one times one than when times where–
that we are in love,that we are in love:
with us they’ve nothing times nothing to do
(for love are in we am in i are in you)
this world(as timorous itsters all
to call their cowardice quite agree)
shall never discover our touch and feel
–for love are in we are in love are in we;
for you are and i am and we are(above
and under all possible worlds)in love
a billion brains may coax undeath
from fancied fact and spaceful time–
no heart can leap,no soul can breathe
but by the sizeless truth of a dream
whose sleep is the sky and the earth and the sea.
For love are in you am in i are in we
  —  e. e. cummings
[Happy Birthday, Hil!! All My Love, Always…  —  KMAB]
.

Read Full Post »

Go Giants!!!!
We are ORANGE inside…
Comments and observations:  Okay, as improbable a World Series as can be imagined is now over and the San Francisco Giants are world champions!!  This is the team’s seventh championship (five were won in New York before the Giants moved to San Francisco in 1958) and the second in three years.
Although the Giants finished with a better regular season record than Detroit, the Tigers were considered the odds-on favorite to win the Series because they have the best pitcher and the best hitter in baseball.  The problem with this proposition is the pitcher only plays twice in a seven game series and so only gets two opportunities to dominate.  In this case, Detroit’s best pitcher (Verlander) didn’t win his first game and his team never got him to his second appearance (Game 5).  The other side of the proposition is that their best hitter (Cabrera) went cold and their second best hitter (Fielder) was positively frigid.
On the flip side, the Giants best hitter (Posey) had a so-so Series hitting (homered tonight for two runs), but played well as catcher.  The main difference was the rest of the team – particularly the entire pitching staff, starters, relievers and closer – were dominant.  It’s a baseball given that great pitching beats great hitting in the playoffs, and there was nothing in this Series to contradict that truism from Detroit.  I think the second big difference was the home field advantage the Giants had because the National League won the All-Star Game.  This allowed the Giants to open with the first two games at home.  Even disallowing Sandoval’s three home runs in Game 1 (4 RBIs), Verlander did not have a “great” game and Detroit would probably have still lost as the game ended 8 to 3.  Thus began the fall…
Confirming / continuing my math commentary from prior posts, the Giants won game 1.  The winner of game 1 goes on to win the Series 60% of the time.  The Giants won game 2.  The team which starts off the World Series with two wins goes on to win 79% of the time.  The Giants won Game 3.  The team which starts the Series with three wins has won all 24 of the times this has happened.  Twenty-one times the team with three wins has gone on to win the fourth game for a sweep and no team has managed to make it to Game 6 after falling behind by 3-0 in the Series.  While probabilities are not certainties, they do tend to be reliably predictive.
Like most baseball fans, I will have a week or so of “withdrawal” as baseball is now over for the year.  Oh well, I draw comfort from knowing I face the off-season with the S.F. Giants having won the last game of World Series!!
For the last time this year:  Go Giants!!!!  We are ORANGE inside…  Congratulations and we love you!!!
.

Read Full Post »

I love America more than any other country in the world, and, exactly for this reason, I insist on the right to criticize her perpetually.
  —  James Baldwin
From: “Notes of a Native Son
.

Read Full Post »

Go Giants!!!!
We are ORANGE inside…
Comments and observations:  Well, the boys from S.F. now have a historically significant edge in the 2012 World Series.  Despite a tremendous pitching effort by the Detroit #3 pitcher (Anibal Sanchez), Detroit scores no runs and the Giants get their second shutout on the way to a 2 to 0 win and a 3 to 0 lead in the Series.  To put this in perspective, NO team has EVER come back to win the World Series after trailing 3 to 0 in games played.
There are four games left if the Series were to go to the full seven.  To lose at this point, the Giants will have to play .000 ball (lose 4 of 4), while the Tigers will have to play 1.000 ball (win 4 of 4).  To add more perspective, both teams are .500 ball clubs, so a change of this magnitude, while not impossible, is extremely improbable.  The odds are the Giants will win one of the next four and the Series.  Simplistic, but probable.
At this point, the question is can the Giants sweep (win game 4 to close out the Series)?
As mentioned in my prior blogs about the 2012 Series, it is difficult for a team to win three in a row let alone four in a row.  While I certainly want the Giants to sweep, it seems likely that the baseball gods will favor Detroit and the Tigers will win the next game.  If that happens, I would expect the Tigers to wallop the Giants and really run up the score.  At that point, Detroit brings in its best starter for Game 5 and if they can pull out that win, the Series will return to S.F. for the final two games and we have the potential for a Series for the ages.
More likely though, is S.F. starts our best pitcher (Matt Cain) in Game 4 and the Giants close out the Series with a four game sweep.  Four-0 or 4-1, the Giants still take the Series after facing the team with the best pitcher and the best hitter in baseball!!!
Go Giants!!!!
.

Read Full Post »

Today I’ve added the poem: “Don’t Quit” to my Poems page.  To be honest, I thought I’d added way back when I added “If” to the Poems page, but I stumbled upon “Don’t Quit” today and went to see if it was there and it wasn’t, so I’m correcting this error.
I first read this poem MANY years ago (back in the early 1970’s), and copied it into my journal.  Over the years, I’ve seen it on posters and T-shirts and most recently on web sites.  I have it as “Author Unknown” and many web sites refer to it this way.  I have noticed a number of sites claiming their father, mother, Grandma or whatever wrote the poem, but I’ve never seen any proof of authorship and I guess, there is none or it would have been provided by now.  I find a certain sadness in people wanting to believe their relative wrote this. Even if they wrote it out in their own handwriting, that is not “proof”.  After all, it appears in my handwriting, in my journal, from back in 1972, and that doesn’t mean I wrote it.
Anyway, it’s a beautiful and inspirational little poem and I hope you’ll take a few moments from your day to lift your spirits…
.

Read Full Post »

I don’t like people who like me because I’m a Negro; neither do I like people who find in the same accident grounds for contempt.
  —  James Baldwin
From: “Notes of a Native Son
[Or in my case, American / Irish / Hispanic / employed / Catholic / etc…  And yes, I realize I remain a Catholic by choice and employed by necessity.  —  KMAB]
.

Read Full Post »

Today was a travel day for the two teams in the World Series (Go Giants!!), so I took advantage of the free day to check out the just released: “Cloud Atlas“.  Now, as this is the first day of the movies release, I can’t / won’t provide any spoilers.  If you want to know what happens, you need to go see it yourself.
I went to see the movie with my younger daughter, Sarah, and as usual, at the end asked her what she thought…  Her response was telling: “Other than the cinematography, I need more time to think about what I saw.”  My own reaction was simpler: “Huh?
Now, in fairness, this is a complicated movie and neither of us read the book (which came out some years ago) or had bothered to research the plot before going into the theater.
I have done a Wikipedia search since coming home and now understand the gist of the plot of the movie and I believe if you do your leg-work before seeing the movie, you’ll understand it better.  The problem is, that’s NOT what I usually do, nor is it something I expect to do.  I believe the movie should stand on its own, or it’s not a very good movie.  A word of caution to parents: this movie is rated “R” and contains a few scenes with gratuitous sex and graphic violence.  The scenes are brief, but this movie is not suitable for young children.
The movie is beautifully shot.  The acting is complicated and well done.  The problem is the movie is even more jumbled than “Inception“.  Without being able to pick-up / follow the story thread until near the very end, I wasn’t sure I was following the correct thread. In the end, according to Wikipedia, I kind of / but not really picked up the thread.  I thought the thread was good and bad deeds and love surviving death.  Both of these are the two background themes, but not the “thread”.
I will say this is NOWHERE near the best movie of the century (as advertised) and can think of a dozen which I much prefer (and some of them aren’t GREAT movies).  I won’t list them, but you get my point: disappointing.
Recommendation: Go see it so you at least know what everyone is talking about.  Not a must see movie and certainly not a highly recommended.  Interesting and worth the matinée price.  After seeing the movie, I would wait to get it on DVD and then watch it several times to make sure I understood it better.  Having said this, recognize each viewing is three hours out of your life…
.

Read Full Post »

Our polite recognition of another’s resemblance to ourselves.
  –-  Ambrose Bierce
From: “The Devil’s Dictionary
.

Read Full Post »

Go Giants!!!!
We are ORANGE inside…
Comments and observations: In a good old fashioned pitching duel, the S.F. Giants come out ahead by playing “small ball” to take a commanding 2 to 0 lead in the 2012 World Series!  The odds now shift from 60% to 79% that the Giants will go on to win the Series.  14 of the last 15 teams to go up by two to zero have gone on to win…
The 60% represents the number of teams who have gone on to win the Series after winning game one.  As stated, 79% of the teams which have taken the first two games have gone on to win it all.  The Giants must now win only 2 out of the next 5 games to win the Series (.400 ball).  The Detroit Tigers must now win 4 out of the next 5 to win the series (.800 ball).  The Tigers entered the Series heavily favored despite having won fewer games in the regular season because they have the best pitcher in baseball (over the last two years) and the first triple-crown batting champion in over 20 years.
As stated in a previous post, it is difficult for any team to win three straight games at this level and at this time of year.  It is even more difficult for a team to win four in a row.  This means it is unlikely the Giants will win the next game, but the main point is to take at least one of the next three in Detroit.  I look for the Tigers to win game three and for S.F. to win game 4.  This will give S.F. a 3 to 1 lead and make game 5 a must win for Detroit, while S.F. will only need to win one game out of the final three.  In any case, it is now impossible for Detroit to close out the series without first coming back to S.F.
Go Giants!!!
.

Read Full Post »

Boned wisdom for weak teeth.
  –-  Ambrose Bierce
From: “The Devil’s Dictionary
.

Read Full Post »

Flowchart for women thinking about voting for Mitt Romney in 2012
Click on the image for a larger view of the flowchart…
.

Read Full Post »

Go Giants!!!!
We are ORANGE inside…
Comments and observations:  Well, the Giants take game one of the 2012 World Series by a score of 8-3 over Detroit.  Game two is tomorrow, also here in S.F.  The series then shifts to Detroit for the following three games, and wraps up with the last two games (if necessary) back in S.F.  At this point the main thing is to “hold serve” and not lose tomorrow.  That will mean Detroit cannot win the Series at home and even if they are able to sweep the three games there, they’d still have to come back to S.F. to win one of the last two games.
Baseball is a unique/interesting game for me because it is so mathematically predictable (at least during the regular season).  The team with the home field advantage in a series should win because it is more difficult to win on the road than it is at home.  In general, the team with the better season record should win the series, but my cursory review of the last few years (only back to 2006) indicates this isn’t true.  Only four of the last six WS winners had the better regular season record.  In other words, once you’re over .500 for the season, it doesn’t seem to matter much if you’re .599 or 501, as long as you win enough to get into the post-season.  In fact, it seems the most reliable indicator so far (early in a series) is who wins the first game of any given series.  (Hooray for the Giants!!!)  In this case, the odds are about 60%, you’ll go on to win the Series.  Not great odds, and not a tremendous predictor, but it seems to be reliable.
In any case, the Giants now only have to play .500 ball to win the Series (six games left, win three and you win the Series).  Detroit now has to play .666 ball to win the Series (six games left, must win four of next six).  With each game, the odds turn more and more against you…  If the Giants hold serve tomorrow and go 2-0, we will only have to play .400 ball or Detroit will have to play .800 ball to win the Series.  Teams have demonstrated they can do this, but not many.  So the key is now to win tomorrow…
Two other points.  For every baseball fan of any team in a World Series, the first goal is to not get swept – win at least one of the games.  That’s done.  The second point is to not panic. It is very difficult to win a three game (sweep) series in baseball. It is even more difficult for a team to win a four game (sweep) series.  This means that even if Detroit does win tomorrow, it is unlikely they’ll be able to win all three games back home because then they will have beaten us four straight.  That implies we will almost certainly win one of the three games in Detroit even if we lose tomorrow’s game.  This in turn means the Series will have to come back to S.F.  My prediction…  if we win tomorrow, the Series goes to five games and S.F. wins 4-1.  If we lose, the Series goes 4-2 and S.F. still wins.
Go GIANTS!!!
.

Read Full Post »

Death stands above me, whispering low
I know not what into my ear:
Of his strange language all I know
Is, there is not a word of fear.
  —  Walter Savage Landor
.

Read Full Post »

Older Posts »

%d bloggers like this: